GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/7/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Junior are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while America de Cali are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and America de Cali hold a 34.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JuniorDLWWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
America de CaliWDWDW

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
JuniorAmerica de Cali
0.0Attack38.1
66.7Defence71.4
0.0Form57.1
23.7Power57.9
0.81xG1.05
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