GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 3/6/2026, 1:20:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Junior · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Junior are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alianza Valledupar are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Junior hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.3% in the Primera A, while Junior holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Junior

Probability

64.0%

Model confidence

18.3%

Junior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JuniorWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Alianza ValleduparLLDDL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
JuniorAlianza Valledupar
48.1Attack25.8
61.7Defence50.0
54.3Form27.3
55.9Power37.0
1.64xG0.51
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