Jubilo Iwatavs
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
COMPLETEDJapan · Emperor Cup · 8/26/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jubilo Iwata · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Original prediction
Jubilo Iwata
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.7% | 37.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.8% | 28.9% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.5% | 33.2% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Jubilo Iwata
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Jubilo Iwata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60