Jubilo Iwatavs
Oita Trinita
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oita Trinita · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Jubilo Iwata 0-0 Oita Trinita, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jubilo Iwata 0-0 Oita Trinita
Original prediction
Oita Trinita
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 49.6% | 28.8% | -20.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.8% | 28.3% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.07 | 22.5% | 42.9% | 20.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.3 pts
Projected Score
Jubilo Iwata 0–0 Oita Trinita
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Oita Trinita
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Oita Trinita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00