Jubilo Iwatavs
JEF United Chiba
COMPLETEDJapan · J-League Cup · 9/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jubilo Iwata · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jubilo Iwata 4-2 JEF United Chiba
Original prediction
Jubilo Iwata
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.7% | 38.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.3% | 28.8% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 34.0% | 32.8% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Jubilo Iwata
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Jubilo Iwata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00