GGOALVIO

Jubilo Iwata logoJubilo IwatavsConsadole Sapporo logoConsadole Sapporo

COMPLETED

Japan · J-League Cup · 3/25/2023, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Consadole Sapporo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jubilo Iwata are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Consadole Sapporo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Consadole Sapporo hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the J-League Cup, while Consadole Sapporo holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Consadole Sapporo

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Consadole Sapporo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jubilo IwataDLLWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Consadole SapporoDWDDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Jubilo IwataConsadole Sapporo
44.4Attack66.7
50.0Defence37.5
33.3Form54.2
44.5Power54.3
1.73xG1.79
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