Jubilo Iwatavs
Consadole Sapporo
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jubilo Iwata · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jubilo Iwata 1-0 Consadole Sapporo
Original prediction
Jubilo Iwata
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.4% | 43.8% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.7% | 27.9% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.98 | 22.9% | 28.3% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Jubilo Iwata
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Jubilo Iwata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60