GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX U21 · 9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Juarez U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Juarez U21 1-0 Tigres UANL U21, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Juarez U21 1-1 Tigres UANL U21

Original prediction

Juarez U21

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 02:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9545.8%48.5%2.7 pts
Draw3.2027.9%28.5%0.5 pts
Away3.4026.2%23.0%-3.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.7 pts

Projected Score

Juarez U21 1–0 Tigres UANL U21

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Juarez U21

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

48.5%

Juarez U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juarez U21DDLDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Tigres UANL U21WDLLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Juarez U21Tigres UANL U21
23.8Attack29.2
66.7Defence37.5
33.3Form29.2
44.2Power35.2
1.21xG0.64
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