Juarez U21vs
Pachuca U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 9/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Juarez U21 0-0 Pachuca U21, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Juarez U21 1-1 Pachuca U21
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 36.9% | 34.8% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.0% | 31.4% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.0% | 33.8% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.11 · Draw 2.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Projected Score
Juarez U21 0–0 Pachuca U21
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.4%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Juarez U21LDDWL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Pachuca U21DDLDW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Juarez U21Pachuca U21
20.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form38.9
43.0Power49.4
0.84xG0.83