GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 4/5/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UTC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Juan Pablo II College are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while UTC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and UTC hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Primera División, while UTC holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

UTC

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

12.9%

UTC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juan Pablo II CollegeLLWWW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UTCDLWLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Juan Pablo II CollegeUTC
41.3Attack38.1
30.2Defence46.0
33.3Form31.7
37.7Power41.3
1.42xG1.46
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