Juan Pablo II Collegevs
UCV Moquegua
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 9/20/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juan Pablo II College · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Juan Pablo II College 4-0 UCV Moquegua
Original prediction
Juan Pablo II College
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 56.5% | 49.7% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.8% | 24.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.94 | 18.7% | 26.1% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Juan Pablo II College
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Juan Pablo II College has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00