GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 4/18/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Comerciantes Unidos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Juan Pablo II College are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Comerciantes Unidos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes Unidos hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Primera División, while Comerciantes Unidos holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Comerciantes Unidos

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

13.1%

Comerciantes Unidos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juan Pablo II CollegeLWLLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Comerciantes UnidosDDWLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Juan Pablo II CollegeComerciantes Unidos
39.4Attack40.9
30.3Defence56.1
31.8Form39.4
36.7Power47.8
1.08xG1.60
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