GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 5/16/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Atletico · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Juan Pablo II College are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Alianza Atletico are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Atletico hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Primera División, while Alianza Atletico holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Atletico

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

13.0%

Alianza Atletico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juan Pablo II CollegeLLDDL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Alianza AtleticoLLWLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Juan Pablo II CollegeAlianza Atletico
39.4Attack41.3
30.3Defence58.7
31.8Form42.9
36.7Power48.9
1.01xG1.63
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