GGOALVIO

Algeria · Ligue 1 · 10/23/2026, 2:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MC Oran · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

JS El Biar 0-0 MC Oran

Original prediction

MC Oran

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4536.6%34.4%-2.2 pts
Draw2.8531.4%28.7%-2.8 pts
Away2.8131.9%36.9%5.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–011%
  3. 3.0–111%

Predicted outcome

MC Oran

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

MC Oran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JS El BiarWLDWL

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MC OranWWDWW

GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
JS El BiarMC Oran
66.7Attack33.3
38.9Defence100.0
38.9Form86.7
47.6Power76.7
1.11xG1.23
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