GGOALVIO

Algeria · Ligue 1 · 10/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CR Belouizdad · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

JS El Biar 2-3 CR Belouizdad

Original prediction

CR Belouizdad

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.5519.7%27.3%7.6 pts
Draw3.0229.8%29.1%-0.6 pts
Away1.7750.5%43.6%-6.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–113%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

CR Belouizdad

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

CR Belouizdad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JS El BiarDWLLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CR BelouizdadWWWDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
JS El BiarCR Belouizdad
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence75.0
33.3Form83.3
43.4Power73.7
0.94xG1.25
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