CupCup
Tuesday, 30 June 2026Last updated 12:35
Järva-Jaani

Järva-Jaani

Home
L
04
Full time
Elva

Elva

Away
WD
GoalVio prediction
58% confidence
Elva(58%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction correct— Result: Elva
Win probability
Järva-Jaani
21%
Draw
21%
Elva
58%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Järva-Jaani
9
Elva
86
Defence
Järva-Jaani
1
Elva
46
Momentum
Järva-Jaani
0
Elva
67
Danger (xG)
Järva-Jaani
0.00
Elva
2.25
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Järva-Jaani)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Elva)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Järva-Jaani)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Elva)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Järva-JaaniJärva-Jaani
L
ElvaElva
WDWWL

Probability breakdown

58% confidence
Järva-Jaani21%
Draw21%
Elva58%

Elva leads with 58% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Järva-Jaani head into this in Cup fixture in mixed form (L), while Elva arrive in mixed form (WD). Järva-Jaani have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Elva over 2 games.

Tactically, Elva hold the edge. Their elite attack (86/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Järva-Jaani defence (1/100), while Järva-Jaani's attack faces a average Elva backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Järva-Jaani have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded per home match. Elva have won 2 of their last 4 away fixtures, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Elva have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Elva to win with 58% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Järva-Jaani 2122%, Draw 2095%, Elva 5783%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Järva-Jaani 0Draws 01 Elva
Avg goals: 4.0
30 Jun 2026
Järva-Jaani
L04
Elva

Recent form

Järva-Jaani

Järva-Jaani

L
vs Elva
30 Jun 2026
04
Elva

Elva

W
@ Viimsi
16 Jul 2026
31
D
@ Nõmme Kalju II
5 Jul 2026
22
W
@ Järva-Jaani
30 Jun 2026
40
W
vs Maardu
11 Jun 2026
43
L
@ Nõmme United II
16 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Järva-Jaani vs Elva?

GoalVio's model predicts Elva to win with 58% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Järva-Jaani vs Elva?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Järva-Jaani vs Elva?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Järva-Jaani vs Elva?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more