Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Järfälla · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Järfälla are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Uppsala are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Järfälla hold a 45.0-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 18.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.4% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Järfälla holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Järfälla
Probability
90.4%
Model confidence
90.4%
Järfälla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60