Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunnersta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Järfälla are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sunnersta are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sunnersta hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 78.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Sunnersta holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sunnersta
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Sunnersta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40