Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Järfälla are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Skiljebo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Skiljebo hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Skiljebo holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00