Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Järfälla are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Skiljebo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Skiljebo hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Skiljebo holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00