Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Järfälla · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Järfälla are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Korsnäs are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Järfälla hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 27.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.4% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Järfälla holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Järfälla
Probability
90.4%
Model confidence
90.4%
Järfälla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40