Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Järfälla are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Karlberg are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlberg hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 72.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Karlberg holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karlberg
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40