Järfällavs
Hammarby Talang
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 10/23/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hammarby Talang · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 0-3 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Järfälla 2-2 Hammarby Talang
Original prediction
Hammarby Talang
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.24 | 14.4% | 12.5% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.74 | 19.0% | 16.2% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.35 | 66.6% | 71.3% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.0–310%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Hammarby Talang
Probability
71.3%
Model confidence
71.3%
Hammarby Talang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80