Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Järfälla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Järfälla are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gute are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Järfälla hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.3% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Järfälla holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Järfälla
Probability
70.3%
Model confidence
70.3%
Järfälla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00