Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Järfälla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Järfälla are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gute are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Järfälla hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.3% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Järfälla holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Järfälla
Probability
70.3%
Model confidence
70.3%
Järfälla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20