Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Järfälla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Järfälla are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Franke are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Järfälla hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.9% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Järfälla holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Järfälla
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
62.9%
Järfälla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40