Järfällavs
FBK Karlstad
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Järfälla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Järfälla 0-3 FBK Karlstad
Original prediction
Järfälla
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.15 | 28.7% | 40.7% | 12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.0% | 26.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 46.3% | 33.0% | -13.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Järfälla
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Järfälla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80