Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Järfälla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Järfälla are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Falu BS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Järfälla hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Järfälla holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Järfälla
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Järfälla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80