Järfällavs
Assyriska FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Järfälla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Järfälla 0-2 Assyriska FF
Original prediction
Järfälla
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.9% | 41.1% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.7% | 26.3% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 41.4% | 32.6% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Järfälla
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Järfälla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20