Järfällavs
AFC Eskilstuna
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Eskilstuna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Järfälla 2-4 AFC Eskilstuna
Original prediction
AFC Eskilstuna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.04 | 22.5% | 27.9% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.4% | 25.1% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.62 | 56.0% | 47.0% | -9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
AFC Eskilstuna
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
AFC Eskilstuna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00