Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
JäPS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Turku PS are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 9 · avg 4.00/1.80
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40