Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
JäPS are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Turku PS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20