Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JäPS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
JäPS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while TPV are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold a 36.6-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while JäPS holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JäPS
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
JäPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 21 · GA 9 · avg 4.20/1.80