GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 9/20/2024, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

JäPS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while SJK Akatemia are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JäPSWWDLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
SJK AkatemiaLDDDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
JäPSSJK Akatemia
31.6Attack15.8
54.4Defence56.1
49.1Form21.1
46.8Power34.1
0.94xG0.66
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