Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JäPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
JäPS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while SalPa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Ykkösliiga, while JäPS holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JäPS
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
JäPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40