Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JäPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
JäPS are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while SalPa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Ykkösliiga, while JäPS holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JäPS
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
JäPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00