Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JäPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
JäPS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while SalPa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Ykkösliiga, while JäPS holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JäPS
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
JäPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00