Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
JäPS are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while PK-35 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
18.9%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60