Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
JäPS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while PK-35 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40