Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
JäPS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while PK-35 are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60