Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JPS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
JPS are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.00 conceded, while MP are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and MP hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Suomen Cup, while JPS holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JPS
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
6.8%
JPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 20 · avg 0.60/4.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80