Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
JäPS are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while MP are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.8 against 45.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.0% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
18.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40