Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
JäPS are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while MP are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.8 against 45.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00