Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
JäPS are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while MP are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.8 against 45.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80