Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lahti · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
JäPS are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Lahti are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lahti hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 68.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.2% in the Ykkösliiga, while Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lahti
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
59.2%
Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40