Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JäPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JäPS 0-0 KäPa
Original prediction
JäPS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.7% | 44.3% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.1% | 27.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.34 | 27.2% | 28.6% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
JäPS
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
JäPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JäPSLLWLW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KäPaLLLLL
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
JäPSKäPa
30.0Attack35.0
51.7Defence41.7
46.7Form26.7
44.7Power37.3
1.17xG0.91