Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JäPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
JäPS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while KäPa are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Ykkösliiga, while JäPS holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JäPS
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
14.8%
JäPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00