Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JäPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
JäPS are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while KäPa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Ykkösliiga, while JäPS holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JäPS
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
JäPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 19 · avg 1.60/3.80