Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JäPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
JäPS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while KäPa are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Ykkösliiga, while JäPS holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JäPS
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
JäPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40