Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
JäPS are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Klubi-04 are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 21 · GA 6 · avg 4.20/1.20