Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: JäPS 0-1 JIPPO, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
JäPS 0-4 JIPPO
Original prediction
JIPPO
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.05 | 22.4% | 20.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.7% | 28.8% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 51.9% | 50.3% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Projected Score
JäPS 0–1 JIPPO
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JäPSLWLWD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
JIPPODLWLW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
JäPSJIPPO
30.7Attack42.7
52.0Defence72.0
46.7Form54.7
45.2Power57.6
0.54xG1.17