Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
JäPS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while JIPPO are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20